What are the trends of the development of international trade flows, at the aggregate level and in specific sectoral product and service classes? What policies can stimulate international trade?
What are the trends of the different national markets? Can they develop in a harmonised more integrated way?
What are the sensitivities to relative price changes and qualitative changes compared to the other competitors?
What are the impacts of the removal of barriers to trade and tariffs
Quantified justifications of trade barrier removals and market opening policy formulation for the Common Market Organizations of the European Community, the Grupo Andino, International Aid Organizations.).
Motivated and consistent trade forecasts, responses to market changes and investments
Construction of the MEGA ( Modelo Econometrico del Grupo Andino) model, five macro-economic models linked with bilateral trade flows.
Construction of an econometric bilateral trade flow models , including demand (in function of relative prices.), supply (in function of spare production capacities, technologies, profitability.) and a bilateral unit export price model (in function of unit costs and competitors prices on each national market).
Project alternative scenarios for given sets of tariffs, disinvestments and investments, .
The scientific methodologies used are crucial. See section Our Expertise.
Report: MEGA.pdf .
Article with A. Italianer and P. Zagamé , the HERMES model for the member states of the European Community, in « HERMES : harmonised econometric research for modeling economic systems ». Ed. by the Commission of the European Communities, North-Holland, 1993, p. 15-74.
Report in Jacques Delors , préface, « 1992. Le Défi. Nouvelles données économiques de l'Europe sans frontières ». Étude dite « Cost of Non-Europe » coordonnée par P.Cecchini. Préparation de simulations macroéconomiques permettant l'évaluation de l'impact de l'achèvement du marché intérieur à l'aide du modèle HERMES , ESTARTE asbl. Flammarion, 1988.
Article with A.Italianer , Integrated economic and energy modeling: HERMES , a harmonized European research into macro-sectoral economic and energy systems. In « Vierteljahrshefte zür Wirtschaftsforschung , 3 », Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, 1986.
Articulo con Juan Ter Wengel , Modelo Econometrico del Grupo Andino ( MEGA ). In « Modelos macroeconometricos en el Peru : nuevos aportes ». Ed. by German Alarco, Centro de Investigación Universidad del Pacífico, Lima, Peru, 1986.
Article with A. Italianer , Modeling bilateral sectoral trade flows. In « International macroeconomic modeling for policy Decisions » ed. By P. Artus and O. Guvenen , M. Nijhoff Publ. Dordrecht, 1986.
Bauwens Luc and d'Alcantara Gonzales. - An export model for the Belgian industry. In «European economic review22», 1983, p. 265-276.
Report with A. Italianer , « European project for a multinational macrosectoral model ». MS11, Commission of the E. C., Luxembourg, 1982 (second reference about the HERMES project).
Report with Jean-Paul Lambert and Erik Geyskens , PLANET , a model for the less developing countries and the European Community. CORE, Louvain la Neuve, nov. 1981.
Report « European project for a multinational macro-sectoral model ». Commission of the EEC, DG XII, MS2, 1980 (first reference about the HERMES project).
with Barten Anton P. - Models of bilateral trade flows , in «Quantitative wirtschaftsforschung, W. Krelle zum 60 geburtstag», ed. by H. Albach, E. Helmstadter, T. Henn, J. Mohr, 1977, p. 43-57.
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